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April 21, 2011

This blog is a resource for political reporters and bloggers. Please feel free to include any of our data or graphics in your articles and posts at no charge, if you provide a link back.

Thank you, David.

-APollsterOnPolling.com

“Mitt Romney is saying ‘get out of my back yard’ and making [NH] his strong firewall”

September 25, 2011

We posted our Suffolk University poll of likely voters in New Hampshire’s Republican Presidential Primary today. (Press release originally HERE: http://suffolk.edu/48498.html, Marginals and Tables HERE: http://suffolk.edu/research/49303.html)

Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney has surged among Republican voters in New Hampshire, and Rick Perry is a distant fourth, according to a Suffolk University/7NEWS (WHDH TV) poll of likely voters in New Hampshire’s GOP presidential primary.

Romney has opened up a 27-point lead over his nearest rival in New Hampshire, and pundits may have to rethink predictions of a two-man GOP race between Romney and Perry.

Front-runners gaining on pack
Romney (41 percent) gained 5 points since June, followed by Ron Paul (14 percent), and Jon Huntsman (10 percent). Huntsman and Paul gained 6 percent each since the last poll.

The single-digit tier consisted of Perry (8 percent), Sarah Palin (6 percent), Michele Bachmann (5 percent), and Newt Gingrich (4 percent), while Rick Santorum and Buddy Roemer each received 1 percent. Eleven percent of likely New Hampshire GOP primary voters were undecided.

“Mitt Romney is saying ‘get out of my back yard’ and making New Hampshire his strong firewall despite showing some weakness in the other states’ early primaries,” said David Paleologos, director of Suffolk University’s Political Research Center. “The anti-Romney candidate at this point could be either Ron Paul, who has polled consistently over the past year, or Jon Huntsman, whose numbers are really growing in the Granite State.”

Mitt Romney 41% (+5 from June)

Ron Paul 14% (+6)

Jon Huntsman 10% (+6)

Rick Perry 8% (NA)

Sarah Palin 6% (+2)

Michele Bachmann 5% (-6)

Newt Gingrich 4% (+2)

Buddy Roemer 1% (+1)

Rick Santorum 1% (+/- 0)

Herman Cain 1% (-1)

Undecided 11% (-10)

Solid numbers for Romney
In the event that their first choice dropped out of the Republican primary, those polled named Romney (21 percent) over Perry (20 percent) as their “second choice.” Paul received 9 percent as a second choice.

“Romney’s added strength in the second-choice question reduces the probability that any other candidate will be able to mobilize and capture all of the non-Romney voters as well as the undecided voters,” said Paleologos. “Romney is not only the overwhelming first choice, but he also has a competitive edge as a fallback option among voters who support other candidates.”

Romney’s numbers were even better than 41 percent among the most reliable Republican voters: He was the choice of 44 percent of those “very likely” to vote, 48 percent of self-identified conservatives and 50 percent of voters in Hillsborough and Rockingham counties, the two largest counties in New Hampshire, which border Massachusetts.

Romney was viewed favorably by 69 percent of respondents, in contrast to several candidates whose unfavorable ratings outweighed their favorable quotient. These included Palin (56 percent unfavorable), Gingrich (52 percent) and Bachmann (45 percent).

Tea Party & conservatism
More than two-thirds (68 percent) of likely GOP voters said they were somewhat or very satisfied with the Republican field of candidates, while 30 percent were either somewhat or very dissatisfied.

In other findings, the Suffolk University survey showed that 48 percent of those polled also identified themselves as being aligned with Tea Party ideals, and 49 percent described themselves as conservative. Each of these results was lower by about 4 points compared to the June poll.

President Barack Obama performed poorly among likely Republican Primary voters, with a 22 percent favorable rating, down 3 points since June and 14 points since early May. Yet 22 percent of respondents also said they expect Obama will win reelection, despite their personal presidential choice.

Key issues
The Republican Primary voters polled said that the top issues facing the country are jobs and the economy (57 percent), up 11 points since June, and reducing the national debt (17 percent). Respondents opposed raising taxes to help reduce the debt (57 percent vs. 38 percent); however this was a much closer margin than in June (67 percent vs. 28 percent).

A majority of respondents felt the health care bill passed by Democrats last year should be repealed (55 percent) or modified (30 percent).

Methodology
The statewide survey of 400 likely voters in New Hampshire’s Republican Presidential Primary was conducted September 18-20, 2011, using live telephone interviews. The margin of error is +/-4.9 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence. Marginals and full cross-tabulation data will be posted at 11:30 p.m. Wednesday, September 21, 2011, on the Suffolk University Political Research Center Web site. For more information, contact David Paleologos at 781-290-9310.

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The Steps To Successful Weddings In Australia

One of the most significant moments in every individual’s life is facing the altar of marriage uttering promises of forever with God and the individuals as the prime witness. It is the moment in life wherein a couple will start living together and start to make their very own family. However, as wedding may be experience once in a lifetime, you need to make sure to make this occasion the grandest one.This is for you to accomplish a remarkable wedding ceremony that will be forever be cherished by both of you. This would be not possible for if you are living in Australia, you have a wide range of choices to pick for.

Australia have got diversity in culture, both modern and wild. There are various places and locations to hold your wedding in this continent. But you must think thoroughly and ask yourself, what exactly are the key things to achieve a successful and remarkable wedding?

Initially, couples are advised to have a wedding coordinator when they do not have the luxury of time to plan everything up. These wedding professionals must know what precisely are the choices of the couple. Then, after finding a wedding planner, you should also visit the internet and talk to your planner the important points of your wedding just like the theme, location, design, and other choices. The web can be a good way to find every wedding need especially in Australia. A lot of firms offering excellent tips for your weddings are accessible in the web. It will be up to you and your wedding consultant in selecting which company you need to do the preparation for you.

Australia is bestowed with scenic spots where you can hold their wedding ceremony. And one best example is Sydney’s Great Opera House. If the couple can pay for it, they could have the wedding inside the opera house. This is very glamorous as this is the best icon of Australia making it a very memorable wedding. When you have number of invited guests in your list then absolutely this is a good venue.

Moreover, you can also opt to do your wedding the standard way. Since there are numerous churches in Australia you can pick upon, the decision is all yours to where you want your wedding to be held. These churches are perfect for your wedding having an excellent architectural design that will complement with your wedding themes. There really are great number of options for you if you would like to settle down and achieve a dreamlike wedding in Australia. Surf through the web together with your partner and take a pick which one among the many best suited for you. Bear in mind that what God had put together, let no man put a sunder.

Trisus Wedding Australia is a great option for a wedding card invitation service specializing in original and unique designs and affordable printing prices

Wonderful Options For Kids Party Entertainers

There are lots of parents that want to give the perfect kids’ party for their young children. Whether it is already the 6th or the very 1st birthday party, they always want to make it more special.

Hiring Yabadoo is the top decision parents can make for their children’s birthday bash. Such circumstance is quite a hassle as parents need to gather some stuff, plan everything from food to decorations generally handling every little thing. Bottom line is that, the children’s special event should be perfect and amazing. If you believe you cannot handle these responsibilities any longer, hire entertainers. All you have to bear in mind is the theme of the occasion and the age of the celebrant whether it is appropriate or not.

Clowns

All-time favourite of little ones are the clowns. Kids appreciate clowns as they are comically excellent and entertaining. Besides, clowns wear colourful and captivating outfits that makes them so attractive for little ones. Well, you can constantly go for various other kids party entertainers when your child happens to be coulrophobic or afraid of clowns.

Jugglers

Are you good at juggling? Well if not, then you can hire jugglers with amazing skills for the party. Jugglers are very cool and their performance is actually fantabulous! Every birthday party with jugglers will surely be awesome and totally wicked because of the array of skills being displayed. Everybody will be entertained to the fullest extent. Sometimes, audience participation is part of the show exactly where children or parents can join in the juggling act. This will bring pure fun and entertainment for everybody.

Magicians

Well, magic what they say is genuinely excellent. Magic tricks like getting a rabbit from an empty hat still captures the interest of children and even adults. How did it exactly happen? Only a magician can answer it. Nonetheless, magicians are also a good addition to your child’s party.

So make sure you hire only the best and conquer your kid’s party.

Four Steps To Help You Dress Your Kids More Easily

There are many stylish kids’ clothes but you know your kids will create trouble over even the best fabric that you buy for them. The trouble with kids is that they are not old enough to make their own decisions so you have to wear the brunt of deciding what they put on. This means that you must create methods of guaranteeing that not only do they like what you purchase for them, but they wear the clothing pieces without giving you a lot of trouble. If you have kids under four years old in the house, follow the tips that are coming up next and you will have peace as far as clothes are concerned.

More colours are better

Kids have a very short concentration spans and their attention will be captured by very minute details. You will start to take that when there i colour everywhere; your kids will more than likely want to go there. This gives some options as far as clothes are concerned as all you need to do is buy kids clothes that are brightly coloured and the moment dressing time comes, they will be overjoyed to wear them. There are many online shops that sell fashionable kids’ clothes so you do not have to struggle in getting several pieces. If you happen to get clothes that have pictures of their favourite cartoon characters, go for them and your kids will cherish them.

Buy clothes that are a size bigger

You can shop some of the most trend setting kids clothing items at Australian store MiniYou.com.au where they hand pick grown up styles for kids so your little one can look just like you.

At times, kids can cause trouble when you try to put items on them because the clothes may fit them too tightly. Kids have no body to show off like adults nor should they so you will doing them no favors if you dress them in tight clothing. Tight clothes make movement difficult for them and this will cause you a lot of trouble. As you browse for the best clothes for your two to three year olds, make sure the size is a bit big to enable them play in comfort and you will have little trouble when dressing them.

Buy the latest trends

If your child ahs started going to school, you will need to purchase clothes that enable them to blend in with their friends in school. Some of the reason why your kids are whining in the morning when going off to school is because they know the clothes they are wearing will be discussed by their school mates all day long. You can easily avoid this by making sure that in as much as you want your kid to be trendy, be sure to research what clothes are trendy with other kids his age and the clothing war between you and your child will come to a closing.

Go Clothes Shopping Together

This is another method that you can deploy to make sure that your kids love what they wear. If you must purchase the clothes for them, bring them along and let them select some of the outfits they want. Their selections might be outrageous but allow them to pick one or two while you subtly dicuss with them on selecting popular kids’ clothes. This way, they will feel like they contributed and rarely will they give you headaches.

NH Poll (6/2011) Ballot Tests

June 29, 2011

Straight from the marginals of our Suffolk University/7NEWS poll of likely voters in New Hampshire’s Republican Presidential Primary conducted from Jun.25 – 27 2011.

Q14. If the Republican Primary for President of the United States were held today and the candidates were {alphabetical} Michele Bachmann, John Bolton, Herman Cain, Jim DeMint, Newt Gingrich, Rudy Giuliani, Jon Huntsman, Gary Johnson, Fred Karger, Roy Moore, Sarah Palin, George Pataki, Ron Paul, Rick Perry, Tim Pawlenty, Buddy Roemer, Mitt Romney, Rick Santorum for whom will you vote or toward whom would you LEAN at this time?

2011 Suffolk University Poll of New Hampshire Likely Voters: Republican Presidential Primary

Q15. If your first choice for the Republican Presidential nominee dropped out of the race, who would you vote for instead (READ LIST), for whom will you vote or toward whom would you LEAN at this time?

2011 Suffolk University Poll of New Hampshire Likely Voters: Republican Presidential Primary

Q22. How satisfied are you with the Republican field of candidates?

2011 Suffolk University Poll of New Hampshire Likely Voters: Republican Presidential Primary

Q23. Did you watch the Republican Presidential Primary debate in Manchester earlier this month?

  • Yes  41%
  • No 59%

Q24. Who do you think won the debate? (READ LIST)

2011 Suffolk University Poll of New Hampshire Likely Voters: Republican Presidential Primary

“Bachmann is finding momentum in NH”

June 29, 2011

We posted our Suffolk University poll of likely voters in New Hampshire’s Republican Presidential Primary today. (Full official press release HERE: http://ow.ly/5t8ab)

While former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney remains a front-runner in New Hampshire, Michele Bachmann climbed 8 points since May, to 11 percent, according to a Suffolk University/7NEWS (WHDH TV) poll of likely voters in New Hampshire’s GOP presidential primary.

Bachmann’s gain was more than that of any other candidate. Romney, with 36 percent support, gained 1 point since Suffolk University’s last Granite State poll was released two months ago.

Among those who watched the Republican Presidential debate in Manchester earlier this month, 33 percent said Romney won the debate, while 31 percent gave the win to Bachmann.

With the exception of Romney and Bachmann, support for the 18 candidates tested remained in single digits. Tim Pawlenty slipped 3 points, to 2 percent, and Newt Gingrich was unchanged with 2 percent.

“Despite being a long way from home, it’s clear that Bachmann is finding momentum in the Granite State.” said David Paleologos, director of Suffolk University’s Political Research Center. “Romney has managed to stay on top throughout some shakeups in the Republican field.”

  1. Mitt Romney 36% (+1)
  2. Michele Bachmann 11% (+8)
  3. Ron Paul 8% (+0)
  4. Rudy Giuliani 5% (-4)
  5. Jon Huntsman 4% (+4)
  6. Sarah Palin 4% (-3)
  7. Herman Cain 2% (+0)
  8. Newt Gingrich 2% (-1)
  9. Tim Pawlenty 2% (-3)
  10. Rick Perry 2% (NA)
  11. George Pataki 1% (NA)
  12. Rick Santorum 1% (-1)
  13. Undecided 21%

Of note, Ron Paul has remained steady with 8 percent since early May, ranking him third overall and ahead of Palin (4 percent) and Rudy Giuliani (5 percent). Jon Huntsman gained 4 points (4 percent), ranking him ahead of Gingrich, Pawlenty and Rick Santorum (1 percent).

Bachmann, in her presidential campaign announcement yesterday, said she represents Tea Party principles. The Suffolk University poll showed that 51 percent of those polled also identified themselves as being aligned with Tea Party ideals, and 54 percent described themselves as conservative.

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Young People Don’t Fear Terrorist Attack

June 3, 2011

Much has been written on the progressive politics of young people in America. We’ve known for a whole that those between 18-34 y/o lean left on many issues, from the environment to the role of government and national security.

On security, a 2009 study by the Center for American Progress, “The Political Ideology of the Millennial Generation” noted that:

…young Americans hold strong opinions that are likely to remain with them for years to come, as only 37 percent agree that “we must do whatever is necessary to protect America from terrorism, even if it means restricting civil liberties or engaging in methods some might consider torture,” while 47 percent disagree and another 16 percent are neutral. Majority support among Republicans (58 percent) is far outweighed by majority opposition from Democrats and Independents (54 percent disagree each).

This stands in stark contrast to a survey we conducted last month.

A nationwide poll conducted by Suffolk University found young people (18-34 y/o) actually fell in line with national averages on questions of torture and the PATRIOT Act.

The survey revealed that a majority of likely voters, old and young, were OK with using “enhanced interrogation techniques or some forms of torture on suspected terrorists if they might have information that helps keep America safe,” (57% nationwide, 58% 18-34 y/o). And, that a majority felt that the PATRIOT Act “is necessary to keep us safe,” (58% nationwide, 59% 18-34 y/o).

An important note on these findings is that the 18-34 y/o sample in this survey may skew a bit to the right**. Still, given what we know, it’s surprising to find young people approving of torture and the PATRIOT Act.

Here’s where things get interesting, especially if we consider that this is possibly a right leaning sample of young people.

Just 35% of those between18-34 y/o said they think there will be a terrorist attack on the U.S. in the next year. Compared with the nationwide average, over half of likely voters (51%) say they expect an attack, that’s a difference of -16 points. That might not seem like a big deal, but it is.

It’s a significant gap statistically, and contextually; consider that these same young people did not break on other national security issues, and yet, on the question of an attack in the next year they were the only age group to break, and did so in a big way.

So what explains these findings?

Could this be the result of apathy from coming of age in a post 9/11 world? The undying optimism of Gen Y. Youthful feelings of invincibility that will fade over time? Or perhaps Gen Y has too many other problems like debt and unemployment to bother thinking much about national security?

It’s difficult to say, but given the increasing influence of this group in politics it’s a trend that could have a significant impact on Washington down the road if these attitudes continue.

For a more in depth analysis on how these findings relate to Gen Y, see the article published on TheNextGreatGeneration.com: Gen Y not afraid of terrorism like other generations.

This data comes from the Suffolk University nationwide survey of 1070 likely voters in the 2012 Presidential Election conducted May 10- May 17, 2011. The margin of error is +/-3 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence.

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**We quota age by nation and party by region, however, we don’t quota age and party together. As a result our sample of young people had party registration of 39 Democrat, 34 Republican and 22% Unenrolled/Independent. Further, while 44% of this sample came from the Southern region of the country, just 9% came from the West. As a result, we believe this may skew this particular group, but not the overall numbers of our survey. 

A Roadmap for the White House in 2012: Part One, Hispanics for the GOP Win

June 1, 2011

This article was originally published on The Huffington Post.

With some potential players dropping out and candidates like Mitt Romney officially throwing their hat in the ring, the 2012 presidential election is slowly coming into focus.

There’s been a lot of talk about what the swing states are for 2012, and theoretically there’s a lot we could play with here. But, while there are many possible ways the upcoming presidential election could play out, the truth is, I believe, that there are far fewer scenarios that are probable.

Let’s do some math. In 2008 Obama won by a margin of 192 electoral votes (Obama 365, McCain 173). By the 2012 electoral math, changed by the 2010 census, those same states represent a 12-point drop for Obama (Obama 359 vs. McCain 179). But, it’s doubtful this will happen again in 2012. Here’s why:

Three years ago the energy of Obama’s movement along with a collapsing economy helped him steal Virginia, North Carolina, Indiana and Colorado out of the Republican column. Regardless of who is chosen as the Republican nominee that’s not likely to happen again. In 2008 Obama was the exception here; since 1980 these states have gone exclusively Republican — with the exception of Colorado in 1992. These states, along with Nebraska’s one blue electoral vote going back to red add up to 49 electoral votes.

That changes the landscape to Obama 310, GOP candidate 228. Still a comfortable margin.

Now the election for POTUS comes down to New Hampshire, Ohio, New Mexico, Nevada and, of course, the all important Florida. Hispanics are prominent in three of these five states, and frankly if Romney, Huntsman, Gingrich or the ghost of Barry Goldwater can appeal to the Hispanic demographic with a vice presidential candidate, the GOP is in prime position to occupy 1600 Penn Ave.

Enter Marco Rubio. He’s Hispanic, he’s from Florida, and well, he’s warm blooded. And yes, he has said in no uncertain terms that he is definitely not interested. But, under the above circumstances, the Republican nominee is likely to offer him everything but the Oval Office keys. He might even get the resolute desk as a souvenir. Rubio enters with no baggage, is basically deployed solely to New Mexico, Nevada, and visits every beach in the Sunshine State.

Under this scenario, if the Republican ticket can win Florida, Nevada and New Mexico, then Ohio can go as blue as the deepest parts of the ocean and the GOP could still win the White House. With those 40 Electoral College votes it’s almost in the bag.

The landscape is now Obama 266, GOP candidate 268. We know it takes 270 to win, so what are we forgetting? New Hampshire.

If things play out this way then it all comes down to the Granite State. That leaves the head of the GOP, at this moment Romney, battling it out for 4 measly Electoral College votes in New Hampshire. Make no mistake, he can’t win without Florida, and if he wins Ohio too then there’s really not a conversation — it’s more of an exclamation point.

With a Romney/ Rubio ticket, the former head of Bain Capital and Salt Lake Olympics, and former Governor of Massachusetts will be going door-to-door in Manchester and Londonderry. He will depend on his VP more than many candidates have in the past while he is trusted to win one of the smallest states in the union. Now that would be an embarrassing way to lose the White House.

Bottom line, if the Republicans secure Florida, New Mexico, Nevada and yes, New Hampshire’s votes, then it doesn’t matter if Obama wins Ohio. There I said it, New Hampshire matters and Ohio doesn’t, kind of.

I know, I know Marco Rubio isn’t interested. But who wouldn’t want to be that important?

Stay tuned next week for part two, the Democratic roadmap…

(A special thanks to 270towin.com)

Voters Nationwide: Split on College Education for All

May 26, 2011

Voters nationwide are split on the question of whether everyone should get a college education. Some 49% of voters said that yes, everyone should go to college while 47% said no, not everyone needs a college education. Only 4 % were undecided.

By political party, 57% of registered Democrats said yes compared with 58% of Republicans that said no. Unenrolled/Independents were split on the issue, 47% in favor of everyone receiving a college education 48% opposed.

Younger people (age 18-44 y/o) were more likely to lean towards higher education for all, with 59% agreeing. As people grew in age they became increasingly less likely to support the idea–just 41% of those between 65-74 y/o agreed.

It should be noted this question did not ask about the concept of opportunity, whether everyone deserves the chance  to receive higher education.

This data comes from the Suffolk University nationwide survey of 1070 likely voters in the 2012 Presidential Election conducted May 10- May 17, 2011. The margin of error is +/-3 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence.

  •  Q48. Do you believe that everyone should get a college education?

Voters Nationwide: Majority Favor Net Neutrality

May 25, 2011

A majority of voters nationwide (56%), say the government should mandate that all websites (and data) on the Internet be treated equally–just one quarter (24%) feel that cable and telephone companies should be allowed to offer faster speeds to websites that are willing to pay more, and 20% remain undecided.

The concept of “net neutrality” holds that companies providing Internet service should treat all sources of data equally (New York Times), and it has been called the “first amendment issue of our time” by the Yale Law & Policy Review and U.S. Senator Al Franken, who has made the issue a priority for his office. 

By party Democrats were most likely to favor a mandate for equal treatment (69%), out-pacing Republican support (43%) by 26 points. A majority of registered Unenrolled/Independent voters (52%) favored a mandate for equal treatment. Interestingly, there were more undecideds among Republicans and Unenrolled/Independents (23%) compared to Democrats (16%).

Among those who reported having voted for Barack Obama in 2008, 65% supported mandating equal treatment while just 45% of McCain voters similarly agreed–a difference of 20 points.

For more information on the topic of Net Neutrality visit SaveTheInternet.com. For more information on this question please feel free to leave a request in the comment section and we’ll be sure to get back to you.

This data comes from the Suffolk University nationwide survey of 1070 likely voters in the 2012 Presidential Election conducted May 10- May 17, 2011. The margin of error is +/-3 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence.

  • Q47. Currently, cable and telephone companies are not allowed to load certain sites for you faster than others – from big corporate home pages to small personal websites, all sources of data are treated equally. Should cable and telephone companies be allowed to offer faster speeds to websites that are willing to pay more, or should the government mandate that all websites on the internet be treated equally?

Voters Nationwide: Green Tech/Jobs Will Fix Economy

May 18, 2011

A majority of likely voters nationwide (60%) believe that federal money spent helping to develop alternative energy technology and creating green-collar jobs can significantly contribute to fixing the economy–29% disagree and 12% are undecided.

By party, Democrats were widely in favor of federal money spent on developing green energy technology (72%), compared with just 41% of Republicans and 64% of Unenrolled/Independents. There was also significant variation by age, with 72% of voters between 18-44 years old agreeing green investments by the government would help fix the economy. Among those over 65 years old just 50% agreed green investments would significant’y contribute to fixing the economy.

Interestingly, among respondents who said FOX News was their most trusted source of news, only 31% agreed that federal investments in green technology could significantly impact the economy for the better. Those who picked other media outlets as their most trusted source for news had a significantly different view, including MSNBC  (85%),  CNN, (77%), NBC (76%), and CBS (66%).

See Also - Voters Nationwide: Cut Oil Subsidies, Increase Production (May 18, 2011)

This data comes from the Suffolk University nationwide survey of 1070 likely voters in the 2012 Presidential Election conducted May 10- May 17, 2011. The margin of error is +/-3 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence.

  • Q46. Can federal money spent helping to develop alternative energy technology and creating green-collar jobs significantly contribute to fixing the economy?

Voters Nationwide: Cut Oil Subsidies, Increase Production

May 18, 2011

A wide majority of likely voters nationwide (64%) favor eliminating tax breaks and subsidies for oil companies, compared with 27% who feel they should remain and 9% are undecided. This comes amidst sky high gas prices across the country and fierce debate on Capitol Hill on the subject of oil in America.

By party, Unenrolled/Independnets and Democrats similarly agreed with cutting federal benefits for oil companies with 70% and 68% respectively in favor of eliminating tax breaks and subsidies. While Republicans were less enthusiastic, overall a majority (53%) still agreed with ending benefits from Washington.

Overall, the country was split over whether the economy was improving (41%) or getting worse (46%). Among those who felt the economy was improving 71% felt existing tax breaks and subsidies should be cut, while just 58% of those said the economy was getting worse agreed.

However, the same survey also found that an even wider majority of likely voters (69%) also favor increasing domestic oil production, even if it means more offshore drilling. Just last week the U.S. House of Representatives passed legislation to expand offshore gas and oil exploration where drilling is now banned.

By party, almost all Republicans (90%) were in favor of increased production, followed by Unenrolled/Independents (66%) and Democrats (53%). Men were more likely than women to support increasing production by 9 points (Men 74% vs. Women 65%).

Among people who felt the economy was improving, just 57% supported increased domestic oil production whereas among those who felt the economy was getting worse a whopping 83% supported more domestic production.

This data comes from the Suffolk University nationwide survey of 1070 likely voters in the 2012 Presidential Election conducted May 10- May 17, 2011. The margin of error is +/-3 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence.

  • Q44. Should the United States explore options to increase its domestic oil production, even if that includes more offshore drilling?
  • Q45. Should the federal government eliminate tax breaks and subsidies for oil companies?
  • Q35. Is the economy improving or getting worse?

National Poll: Americans Believe Terrorist Attack Imminent

May 18, 2011

We posted our Suffolk University poll of likely voters nationwide today. (Full official press release HERE: http://ow.ly/4XuEV)

Following the killing of Osama Bin Laden, a majority of likely voters nationwide (51%) said they think there will be a terrorist attack on U.S. soil in the next year; 34% did not think there would be an attack; and 16% were undecided.

“While terrorism and national security do not appear to have taken precedence over issues such as the national debt or jobs and the economy, it’s clearly something that’s on people’s minds,” said David Paleologos, director of the Political Research Center at Boston’s Suffolk University. “Ironically, the removal of Bin Laden may have heightened fears for a majority of Americans.”

On the subject of terrorism, some 57% of respondents said it would be OK to use enhanced interrogation techniques or some forms of torture on suspected terrorists to procure information to help keep America safe. By party, Republicans were most likely to favor using highly aggressive techniques (78%), over 25 points more than either Unenrolled/Independents (51%) and of Democrats (49%).

Further, 58% said the PATRIOT Act was necessary to keep us safe, compared with 31% who felt that it gives the government too much power and invades privacy, with 10% undecided.

Our national survey also found that it did not matter to nearly all likely voters (87%) that Osama Bin Laden was unarmed when he was killed, and less than one third (29%) said they considered killing Bin Laden a “political assassination.”

Stay tuned for more updates from our poll.

The nationwide survey of 1,070 United States likely voters was conducted May 10-17, 2011, using live telephone interviews. The margin of error is +/- 3.0 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence.

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